Iran -- The Next War?
In April and May 2006, the administration tried to escalate and consolidate world opposition to Iran. Eventually, a watered-down UN Security Council resolution was passed imposing sanctions should Iran not cease uranium enrichment and cooperate with the International Atomic Energy Agency.
Now Washington is abuzz over what many see as the opening moves by George Bush to turn up the military heat on Iran (and also Syria). Speculation started with Bush’s speech on January 10 when he said:
“Succeeding in Iraq also requires defending its territorial integrity and stabilizing the region in the face of extremist challenges. This begins with addressing Iran and Syria…allowing terrorists and insurgents to use their territory to move in and out of Iraq. Iran is providing material support for attacks on American troops. We will disrupt the attacks on our forces…And we will seek out and destroy the networks providing advanced weaponry and training to our enemies in Iraq.”
There have been numerous reports of Special Forces entering Iran through Afghanistan to gather information on Iran’s nuclear facilities. And undoubtedly the CIA is trying to work that and other problems. But Iran is, by all accounts, pretty much a black hole when it comes to good intelligence – perhaps surpassed only by North Korea.
Short of information on Iraq before 2003, the Bush administration adopted various exile groups, paid tens of thousands of dollars, and ended up with worthless information.
Bush said January 10 that mistakes had been made in Iraq after the invasion and toppling of Saddam Hussein. He might do well to look at the record of the mistakes made in 2001 and 2002 – and not make the same mistakes with Iran.